Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031500 0.034408 0.037334 0.040493 0.043802 0.047158 0.050815
2026-01-04 0.026710 0.031009 0.035479 0.040451 0.045802 0.051368 0.057575
2026-01-11 0.023463 0.028780 0.034471 0.040961 0.048105 0.055684 0.064284
2026-01-18 0.020890 0.026970 0.033651 0.041438 0.050177 0.059597 0.070440
2026-01-25 0.017569 0.023999 0.031269 0.039941 0.049859 0.060723 0.073400
2026-02-01 0.015361 0.022112 0.029943 0.039474 0.050555 0.062853 0.077367
2026-02-08 0.013633 0.020642 0.028973 0.039301 0.051484 0.065165 0.081463
2026-02-15 0.012818 0.020218 0.029186 0.040460 0.053909 0.069141 0.087416
2026-02-22 0.011963 0.019665 0.029181 0.041310 0.055932 0.072625 0.092786
2026-03-01 0.011025 0.018927 0.028887 0.041761 0.057442 0.075488 0.097420
2026-03-08 0.010053 0.018070 0.028385 0.041907 0.058550 0.077851 0.101455
2026-03-15 0.009515 0.017763 0.028554 0.042859 0.060607 0.081316 0.106758
2026-03-22 0.008308 0.016452 0.027384 0.042117 0.060617 0.082389 0.109319
2026-03-29 0.007554 0.015737 0.026961 0.042295 0.061734 0.084770 0.113413
2026-04-05 0.007025 0.015314 0.026902 0.042919 0.063388 0.087783 0.118251
2026-04-12 0.006511 0.014874 0.026791 0.043456 0.064919 0.090641 0.122902
2026-04-19 0.005399 0.013390 0.025159 0.041936 0.063822 0.090287 0.123702
2026-04-26 0.004708 0.012523 0.024348 0.041464 0.064019 0.091479 0.126330
2026-05-03 0.004165 0.011850 0.023779 0.041290 0.064572 0.093092 0.129450
2026-05-10 0.004017 0.011865 0.024218 0.042485 0.066888 0.096875 0.135193
2026-05-17 0.003801 0.011736 0.024429 0.043360 0.068786 0.100143 0.140316
2026-05-24 0.003503 0.011427 0.024351 0.043823 0.070141 0.102735 0.144619
2026-05-31 0.003160 0.010993 0.024060 0.043974 0.071077 0.104798 0.148275